Daxos Capital · Internal Teardown · 2026-09-15 · Confidential

Moe — Daxos Teardown

Market of Everything, Inc. (themoe.app), founder/CEO Erik Schutzler, Seattle. Consumer iOS app: scan an item, an LLM values it, track it like a stock portfolio, cross-list to eBay / Facebook Marketplace / Depop. $9.99/mo after 5 free scans, 4% external / 8% native take. Raising a $1M pre-seed SAFE at a $10M post cap, 10% discount, MFN; ~$700k claimed committed. Sources: two Daxos calls (2026-09-10, 71 min; 2026-09-15, 69 min), Loom dashboard walkthrough (2026-09-11) + full-res screenshots, unsigned pro rata side letter, Daxos internal memo (Sept 14, rated 5.5), DD v1 (2026-09-14, no calls). Independent checks: App Store/iTunes API, Harmonic, Apify LinkedIn, EDGAR, CourtListener, Wayback, WA corporate registry.
Company rating
4.75 / 10 — PASS
Base 2.75 + EV +1.00 ($0–1M tier: money verifiably received by the entity is $0 — Harmonic funding_total $0, 0 rounds; no Form D on EDGAR; founder claims ~$700k committed and $100–130k spent, all tiers land the same) + Geo +1.00 (USA — Seattle; claimed Delaware C-corp, unverified) + Chain 0.00 = 4.75
Base anchored against: Aevox base 3.00 (live product with measured billing and 86% gross margin, sunk by related-party traction and litigation), Cero base 4.00 (trust discount, pre-launch, but no documented self-refutation), Glitch base 4.25 (inflated founder, externally verified product kernel), Delivr 3.5 (misrepresented traction on real six-figure revenue), Auron deck-level base 2.5 (same-day contradictions). Moe: a real, shipped, nicely packaged consumer app with genuine organic signups and honest cost telemetry — minus a founder who pitched 5,000 users and $10k MRR the day before his own dashboard showed 967 and $249.75, invented an 8-year resume for his claimed ML lead (a May-2023 grad employed full time elsewhere), inflated his own Amazon record ~2x against his own LinkedIn, runs negative gross margin by design, and builds on a Meta ToS violation. Base sits below Aevox's 3.00 because Aevox's inflation was never refuted by its own documents in-window; Erik's was, repeatedly, inside five days.
FOR DAXOS FIT: 2.0 / 10 — do not execute the SAFE. Joseph said on call 2 [63:19] "we can execute that like probably in the next day or so" — this review's recommendation is that Daxos does not countersign. No government traction; commodity category where the two closest corpses (OneShop, SellHound) died and the ceiling is Flyp's $15.8M Series A after 7 years; incumbents ship the wedge natively for free; the team pros in the memo (DS/ML lead ex-DraftKings, engineers in Europe, OfferUp advisor) are respectively fabricated, unverifiable, and unnamed. Calibration rule: thesis excitement alone caps at 5; documented misrepresentation takes it well below.
vs the Daxos memo (Sept 14): 5.5 IN. The memo started at 6.5 and docked 1 for inflation; every remaining pro leans on founder-only inputs this teardown refuted (3,000 signups → dashboard 967; team quality → fabricated/unverifiable; "$10M cheap vs $15–25M consumer-AI" → wrong comp set; Depop fact error). Strip those and the memo's own framework lands ~3.75–4.
vs DD v1 (Sept 14, pre-calls): 3.75 company / 3.25 fit, PASS. Not directly comparable: v1's 3.75 was a holistic score; today's 4.75 headline is formula (EV + Geo add +2.00 to base). On v1's holistic basis today is ~3.0 — lower — because the calls converted v1's "unverifiable" into demonstrated fabrication. What the two calls changed: (1) the 5,000-user / $10k-MRR claims are now self-refuted on the record by Erik's own dashboard and his own call-2 numbers; (2) the "Yagev ran DraftKings DS 5 years" resume is provably false (he graduated college May 2023 and works full time at Terra Security, Tel Aviv); (3) "team of 7 all in the US" flipped to engineers in Spain within 5 days; (4) verbal "signed agreements" with eBay/Mercado Libre are on the record against the memo's "self-serve APIs, not partnerships"; (5) new adverse find: Erik sued PingPong and its US CEO in federal court (D. Colo. 1:24-cv-03084) and never disclosed it while citing PingPong as pedigree; (6) new candor credit: he is genuinely honest about product limits (video scan crashes the phone, scanner misidentifies, churn will rise).

What it is

Moe is a consumer resale app that treats your possessions like a brokerage account. You point the camera at an item, a vision model identifies it, a valuation call with web search prices it, and it lands in a portfolio with a dollar value that a daily 8am cron re-computes. One tap cross-lists to eBay and Depop through their developer APIs and to Facebook Marketplace through a headless browser driving the user's own logged-in session. Moe charges $9.99/mo after 5 free scans plus 4% of external sales (8% native). The app is real and independently verifiable: App Store id 6759468571, released 2026-08-25, v1.0, 4.33 stars from 12 ratings, seller Market of Everything, Inc. Roadmap (not shipped): item-for-item trading, public profiles, agents that negotiate with buyers, Android.

The pitch is that hyper-collectors and "depop girlies" have closets of idle inventory and no patience for eBay's listing flow, so Moe becomes the consumer-casual front end to every marketplace and eventually the exchange itself. The state of play is much earlier: 967 users on the founder's own Sep 11 dashboard, $175.00 of lifetime GMV across 5 orders, $20.60 of lifetime take-rate revenue, ~25 genuinely paying subscribers implied by $249.75 est. MRR, and an LLM bill ($355.59/30d) larger than all revenue combined. It is one entry in a crowded 2025–26 wave of AI scan-value-list apps, in a category (cross-listing tools) that has never produced a venture-scale outcome.

The two calls

Call 1 — Sept 10, 71 min (Mark, Joseph, Carlo)

What he claimed: "3,500 users overnight yesterday," ~5,000 downloads, 200–300 users/day "all converting to pro subscriptions" [45:22]; MRR "right around 10k" [50:44]; 70% download-to-subscription [50:33]; sell-through 15–20% in week one [45:35]; avg item GMV $400 [46:29]; team of 7 "all based in the US" [09:16], every engineer 7+ years experience, avg salary ~$125k [52:50–53:39]; DS/ML lead "ran Data Science at DraftKings for the last five years and then three years of Nike" [42:58]; eBay "signed agreements... they're done" [30:47], "full end to end partnership with Meta currently right now" [29:59], Mercado Libre signed, live early Q1 [32:53]; burn $20k/mo, 14 months runway; $700k of the $1M in.

Call 2 — Sept 15, 69 min (Mark, Joseph, Carlo, Jake)

What changed: users became "967... that was Friday... just approaching 2,000 now" [53:38] — his own refutation of 5,000, delivered as if the first claim never happened. MRR was never mentioned again. The 70% became "starting a subscription path" (free trial OR paid) [33:49] — same number, new denominator, no acknowledgment. GMV $400 became "hovered around the same mark, which I think was right, 300" [54:07] — a 25% drop described as unchanged. The all-US team became "a couple of engineers based in Spain," one at 50k EUR, one at 90k EUR [05:47–06:04] — which quietly breaks the $125k-average and 7-years-minimum claims. New extraordinary claims appeared where old ones fell: churn "sub two and a half percent" [34:04] on a one-week beta, and 97% trial-to-paid [41:25], irreconcilable with a $249.75 billing panel. The seed narrative escalated to a16z / Lerer Hippeau / Khosla / Headline / Bling / True "circling," "a couple of them are looking to do term sheets this week" [01:13], conceding "we don't have a term sheet obviously yet" [03:41]. Ownership went "I own 100" → "95" → employees 0.5–1% each → pool "right at like 10% max" [07:12–08:34], which does not add up and confirmed no real cap table exists.

How he handled pushback

Smoothly, never defensively — 140 minutes without irritation. The technique is redefinition and authority-borrowing, not confrontation: the 70% survives by changing its base; Meta risk is answered with an unnamed advisor's blessing and a claimed partnership; fundraise doubt is answered with six VC names (two of them mangled — "Jason Horowitz," "Larrey Hippo"). When a question has no good answer (DAU — asked directly by Joseph [53:13] — MRR update, items actually sold), he answers an adjacent question. The one genuinely candid lane is product limits: video scanning "basically crashes the phone... within 30 seconds" [58:26], the scanner misidentifies (he didn't dispute Jake's own experience of it), tap-to-scan is "basically static photos" dressed up [59:18], churn will rise toward 10% [41:58]. Credibility is bimodal: believable on product, not on metrics, partnerships, or money.

Best quotes

Team — verified vs claimed vs adverse

Method: Apify LinkedIn pulls (2026-09-15), Harmonic person/company records, WA corporate registry, CourtListener, EDGAR, GitHub, App Store. Helper team score: 2.0/10.

Erik Schutzler — Founder/CEO, claims 95% ownership REAL, INFLATED ~2x, ADVERSE

Verified: real person (LinkedIn, Harmonic 94373779, App Store seller, side-letter signatory). BA Finance, U of Denver 2014–18; no technical education, zero engineering skills listed, GitHub account created 2025-12-31 with zero public repos. T-Mobile enterprise AE ~1.5 yrs; Amazon 2 years (his own LinkedIn: Middle East expansion — UAE, Saudi, Egypt, "$30M revenue"); PingPong Payments ~2 yrs (US employee #30 → head of sales N. America); Sport IQ (DTC pain-cream brand, dead, no exit); Yiftee GTM advisor. Almost certainly the son of Michael Schutzler (ex-CEO Classmates.com/Livemocha, WA Technology Industry Association CEO) — co-governor of Erik's college LLC at the same Seattle home address (WA registry 604083592) — which explains the Seattle angel network.

Claimed vs found: "4.5 years early-stage Amazon plus ~2 years at an Amazon subsidiary in APAC" [C1 07:48] — LinkedIn says 2 years, and PingPong is a Hangzhou-founded payments company, not an Amazon subsidiary. Roughly 2x tenure inflation plus a fabricated affiliation. Claimed country launches include Japan (launched Oct 2000, when he was ~4) and Turkey (Sept 2018, before he joined); his own LinkedIn claims only UAE/Saudi/Egypt. "I'm leading a lot of the other engineering pieces as well" [C2 06:10] is not credible against a finance degree and an empty GitHub.

Adverse: Schutzler v. PingPong Global Solutions and Kenny Tsang, D. Colo. 1:24-cv-03084 (filed 2024-11-04, employment discrimination, Erik as plaintiff, judgment entered 2026-06-02, prevailing party needs PACER). Not misconduct per se — but he cited PingPong as pedigree on both calls and never disclosed he sued them and their CEO. Pull the judgment before any wire. Otherwise clean: no cases as defendant, no SEC/FINRA/BBB/Ripoff hits. Harmonic still shows a concurrent "Founder @ Stealth Company" record from 2026-03, unresolved.

"Yagev" (Yagev Levi) — claimed DS/ML lead RESUME FABRICATED

Erik: DS/ML lead who "ran Data Science at DraftKings for the last five years and then three years of Nike before that" [C1 42:58], with 3 engineers under him [44:41]. The only matching person on earth (linkedin.com/in/yagevlevi, Apify 2026-09-15): BA Computer Science, Boston University, May 2023; ~2 years of IC ML-infrastructure stints at DraftKings; ~1.5 years of pre-graduation Nike co-op work; MS Georgia Tech in progress; currently "AI @ terra" (Terra Security, Tel Aviv), started ~1 month ago; no Moe anywhere on the profile. The claim assigns 8 years of department-head seniority to a person with ~3.5 total as an IC who appears to work full time for another company. At best a moonlighting contractor whose resume Erik inflated to close a round; the claim as delivered is false.

Janice Cheng — Founding Head of Growth REAL, CLAIM CONTRADICTED

Verified: real (Harmonic 199300379, current since Jul 2026). Claimed: "built organic growth strategies for three huge applications to number one in the App Store, including Hinge" [C1 43:49]. Her LinkedIn shows Aavia marketing/community plus fractional gigs (Dipsea, Rodeo, Ditto), SFU comms degree — no Hinge, no #1 apps. Likely fractional.

Jordan Novack — Head of Social REAL, POSSIBLY GONE

Real (Harmonic 28425493, started Jun 2026); sports social background (UFC, XFL, PitchBook), non-technical. The v1 LinkedIn pull showed the tenure end-dated 2026-09-01 (~one quarter); today's Harmonic company record still lists the seat current. Either way not an engineer.

Engineers, designer, advisors, investors ZERO VERIFIABLE

Team verdict

A real, energetic solo founder with a genuine mid-level sales/GTM history and a well-connected Seattle tech father — and nothing else that survives contact. No technical cofounder, no verifiable engineer anywhere, both named non-founder hires non-technical (one possibly already gone), both marquee advisors unnamed with mutating descriptions, every named investor unverifiable, his own resume inflated ~2x against his own LinkedIn, his claimed ML lead's resume invented outright, and a federal suit against the employer he cites as pedigree left undisclosed across 140 minutes of calls. Team 2.0/10.

Background check — Erik Schutzler, adverse sweep

Adverse-record sweep 2026-09-15 (out/background.md), builds on the team DD same date. All checks run 2026-09-15 unless noted. Federal courts, bankruptcy, OFAC, EDGAR, Harmonic, NY/WA/CO registries, UCC, CFPB, BBB/Trustpilot/Ripoff, App Store reviews, community SERPs, crowdfunding, FINRA, identity.

Verdict

Not a fraudster on the public record: as of today he has zero defendant-side lawsuits, no bankruptcy, no liens or UCC filings, no regulatory, criminal, sanctions, or consumer-complaint trail in any database reachable, and his identity (name, age, Seattle roots, Eastside Catholic 2014, U. of Denver) is internally consistent.

Pattern of embellishment: confirmed — but the proof lives in his own pitch (the team DD), not in court records; the adverse sweep adds a habit of abandoning entities (Schutzler Enterprises LLC administratively dissolved 2019; DealsDepot L.L.C., Denver, delinquent since 2022-09-01 and never wound down, previously undisclosed) and an App Store launch where 8 of 9 reviews are generic day-one 5-stars that the only substantive reviewer calls paid.

Strongest evidence on each side: clean side, one federal case ever and he is the plaintiff, with no counterclaim filed against him; adverse side, the claimed $700k raise has no Form D, no Harmonic trace (funding_total $0, 0 rounds, checked today), and Market of Everything, Inc. has no findable registration in NY or WA.

Findings

#CheckResultSource · 9/15Severity
1Federal courts, all districts
CourtListener API v4, "Erik Schutzler", type=r and type=o
Exactly 1 case, Schutzler v. PingPong (plaintiff). Zero as defendant. Zero opinions. Other Schutzler hits (Kevin/Pamela FL 2001, TerriAnn OR 2011, Joanne CA 1992 bankruptcies) are unrelated peoplecourtlistener.com/api/rest/v4/search/?q="Erik Schutzler"&type=rINFO
2Employer suit docket
RECAP docket 69410629, full entry list pulled
See lawsuit detail below. Judgment entered 2026-06-02, content unknown without PACERcourtlistener.com/docket/69410629/MEDIUM nondisclosure
3Bankruptcy (RECAP/PACER mirror)
Same CourtListener sweep, chapter filings
None for Erik SchutzlersameCLEAN
4OFAC SDN + sanctions
Downloaded sdn.csv (5.69MB, HTTP 200), grep -i schutzler
0 hitstreasury.gov/ofac/downloads/sdn.csvCLEAN
5SEC EDGAR full text
"Schutzler" and "Market of Everything"
No filing by or naming Erik or Moe. NO Form D for the claimed $700k. "Schutzler" hits are Acucela and LiveMocha (Michael Schutzler, the father)efts.sec.gov/LATEST/search-index?q="Market of Everything" (0 hits)HIGH raise unverifiable
6Harmonic funding
POST api.harmonic.ai/companies?website_url=https://themoe.app
funding_total 0.0, num_funding_rounds 0, investors [], stage VENTURE_UNKNOWN, legal name MARKET OF EVERYTHING, INC., HQ Seattle, headcount 12Harmonic APIHIGH contradicts $700k claim
7NY DOS corporate registry
API GetComplexSearchMatchingEntities, "MARKET OF EVERYTHING" and "SCHUTZLER", contains, all statuses
NoEntityMatchFound for both (4 unrelated "everything marketing" cos). Moe is NOT registered in NY, domestic or foreignapps.dos.ny.gov/PublicInquiryWebMEDIUM he pitches NY ties; no NY registration
8WA registry
opengovwa.com record pull
Schutzler Enterprises LLC, UBI 604083592: formed 2017-01-30, ADMINISTRATIVELY DISSOLVED 2019-06-03, governors Erik Schutzler AND Michael Schutzler, address 5641 Beach Dr SW Seattle, email schutzler@gmail.com. Confirms father link. Full WA name search bot-gatedopengovwa.com/corporation/604083592LOW abandoned entity #1
9CO SOS registry (open data)
data.colorado.gov 4ykn-tg5h, $q=schutzler
DealsDepot L.L.C., Denver, formed 2021-04-19, agent Erik THOMAS Schutzler, 4030 Grove St Denver, status DELINQUENT since 2022-09-01. Not on his LinkedIn, never discloseddata.colorado.gov/resource/4ykn-tg5h.json?$q=schutzlerMEDIUM abandoned entity #2, undisclosed
10CO UCC (liens)
datasets 8upq-58vz (debtor), $q=schutzler and dealsdepot
0 filingsdata.colorado.gov/resource/8upq-58vz.jsonCLEAN
11CO trade names
u7sb-g482, $q="sport iq" and schutzler
0. Sport IQ had NO registered CO entity or trade name under him; unclear what legal entity ran the branddata.colorado.gov/resource/u7sb-g482.jsonLOW ask
12Sport IQ death
Wayback CDX shopsportiq.com; live DNS
14 captures 2022-12-18 to 2025-04-09; the 2025-04-09 capture is Shopify's "store unavailable" page; domain now dead (DNS fails). Quiet shutdown, no closure notice, no complaint trail. Product still listed on Amazon (B0BNL1ZKGZ) and GoSuppsweb.archive.org/cdx, shopsportiq.comCLEAN-ISH
13CFPB complaints
search_term "sport iq", "market of everything"
0 and 0consumerfinance.gov complaint APICLEAN
14BBB / Trustpilot / Ripoff Report / Scam sites
Web sweeps on Moe, themoe.app, Sport IQ, Schutzler
Nothing on him or his brands (a dealsdepot.xyz scam-site flag is an unrelated newly registered domain, not his 2021 CO LLC). Founders DD same findingSERPsCLEAN
15App Store reviews
iTunes RSS, app id 6759468571
9 reviews: 8 generic 5-stars within days of the 2026-08-25 launch, 1 detailed 1-star (2026-08-31) alleging "don't listen to the other reviews because those are all paid" plus wrong valuations and broken cross-listing. No refund or unauthorized-charge complaintsitunes.apple.com/us/rss/customerreviews/id=6759468571MEDIUM astroturf pattern
16Reddit / HN / Product Hunt / TikTok SERP
Multiple queries incl. site: filters
Zero organic community discussion of Moe anywhere. No scam chatter, also no genuine buzz despite "5,000 downloads" claims. themoe.app/college shows a Fall 2026 college-ambassador programSERPsLOW silence contradicts traction claims
17Crowdfunding platforms
Kickstarter, Indiegogo, Wefunder, Republic, StartEngine, AngelList site: search for Schutzler, Market of Everything, Sport IQ
No campaigns ever, under any name or brand. No prior public raise, failed or otherwiseSERPCLEAN
18FINRA / broker registration
BrokerCheck (API token-walled; UI check 9/15: nothing)
No registration; none expected for a sales careerbrokercheck.finra.orgCLEAN
19Glassdoor/Indeed of PingPong
SERP + Glassdoor summaries
PingPong 3.0/5, 42% recommend, harsh culture reviews ("treated as a slave... expect to be bullied"). Context that makes a discrimination suit plausible; nothing about Erik. His suit generated zero pressglassdoor.com/Reviews/PingPong-Reviews-E1907733.htmINFO
20Identity consistency
SERP name variants (Erik/Eric, Schutzler/Schützler), LinkedIn site: search, Contra, Hudl
One LinkedIn only (in/erikschutzler, headline still "PingPong" in Google's index). Hudl + Baseball Northwest: Eastside Catholic HS Bellevue class of 2014, 3B, consistent with age ~30 and U. Denver 2014-18. Contra profile empty, location Kirkland WA. Middle name Thomas (CO filing). No second or deleted profile foundhudl.com/profile/2491074, baseballnorthwest.com/profiles/schutzler, contra.com/erik_schutzlerCLEAN
21The father
Michael Schutzler (b. 1962): Wikipedia, Wellfound (angel, "led or contributed to more than $50M in private equity financing"), PitchBook investor profile, ex-CEO Livemocha and Classmates, WTIA CEO to late 2024
Father link near-certain (co-governor of Erik's LLC, row 8). NO public record ties Michael to Moe as investor or advisor; the claimed OfferUp/FB-Marketplace advisors and "family office" checks do not publicly route through him eitheren.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Schutzler, wellfound.com/p/michael-schutzlerINFO conflicts scope only
22Podcast footprint
YouTube "Confessions of an Ex-Amazon Employee, PingPong Payments, EP 222"
Exists in SERP; page content not retrievable. Title alone shows he markets himself as "ex-Amazon". Worth a listen before any callyoutube.com/watch?v=_5nf2OqFoV4INFO

The employer lawsuit, in detail

Schutzler v. PingPong Global Solutions, Inc. and Kenny Tsang, D. Colo. 1:24-cv-03084-RMR, filed 2024-11-04. Erik is the sole plaintiff. Cause: 28:1332 Diversity, Employment Discrimination; nature of suit 790 Other Labor Litigation; jury demanded by plaintiff. Plaintiff counsel HKM Employment Attorneys (Shelby Sue Woods); defense Greenberg Traurig (Martine Tariot Wells). Judge Regina M. Rodriguez, Magistrate Susan Prose. Defendant corporate disclosure names parent PingPong Global Holdings, Ltd. Kenny Tsang is PingPong's US Managing Director per Crunchbase (Erik's "US CEO" framing is close enough).

Docket arc (52 documents, quotes from RECAP): complaint 11/4/24; defendants ANSWERED 1/6/25 with no counterclaim on the docket, which matters: PingPong did not accuse him of anything; scheduling order 2/3/25; protective orders 2/18-19/25; then a long discovery grind with five stipulated-looking extensions (7/23/25, 10/7/25, 12/22/25, 3/3/26, 4/22/26); motions for leave to restrict (sealed filings) 4/3/26, 4/23/26, granted 4/10 and 5/8/26; two "Motion for Issuance" filings (4/3, 4/23/26, likely subpoena or letters issuance, text not public); an attorney withdrawal filed 5/7/26, granted 5/8/26 (which side withdrew is not visible in the short descriptions); orders on both issuance motions 6/1/26; JUDGMENT entered 6/2/26 (entry 57, pacer_doc_id 039012721976).

Reading: no motion to dismiss, no summary judgment, and no trial ever appears, and judgment lands 19 months in, right after sealed filings and an attorney change. That pattern is most consistent with a settlement reduced to judgment or an accepted Rule 68 offer of judgment, but the prevailing party and terms are not knowable without the PACER document (about $3 all-in via the "Buy on PACER" links on the docket page). Recommend buying entries 57, 50, and 1 before any wire. Suing a former employer for discrimination is not misconduct; the issue remains what the team DD flagged: he cites PingPong as pedigree on calls while never mentioning he sued them and their US chief, and the docket shows the judgment landed three months before he pitched Daxos.

What Daxos must ask him directly

Rating impact

Unchanged — Company 4.75/10 PASS, FOR DAXOS 2.0/10. The sweep is clean exactly where a rating change would require new facts (no defendant-side record, no bankruptcy, no sanctions, identity consistent), and its adverse finds (abandoned entities, astroturf-pattern reviews, no findable state registration) corroborate risks already priced into Base 2.75 and the paper-risk section rather than adding a new category.

Not checkable (clean findings hold within these limits): Delaware ICIS (captcha-walled — presumed DE incorporation unverified), the PACER judgment/complaint text (~$3; buy entries 57, 50, 1 before any wire), WA SOS full name search (bot-gated), state courts / small claims in every state (captcha, login, or paywalled), NY and WA UCC, the DU degree (no public verification path), and the EP 222 podcast audio (flagged for a manual listen).

Traction & unit economics

Dashboard figures are from the founder's own admin screens (Loom 2026-09-11 + full-res screenshots mark-overview.jpg / mark-llm-costs.jpg / mark-invite-codes.jpg). The dashboard is founder-controlled software: better provenance than his mouth, still not third-party. Labeled "dashboard, founder-controlled" throughout.
MetricFounder claimed (calls/Loom)Dashboard, founder-controlled (Sep 11)Independent
Users5,000 downloads; "3,500 overnight" [C1 45:22, 50:35]; "approaching 2,000" [C2 53:38]967 total (832 Free / 135 Pro tier), +573 this week (~82/day)12 App Store ratings, unchanged Sep 14→15; no Google Play; no press; no chart rank
MRR"right around 10k" [C1 50:44]$249.75 est. MRR (IAP estimate) — exactly 25 × $9.99, so ~25 real payers; "136 active PRO subs" includes free grants (METADAO invite code grants PRO forever)none possible
Paid conversion70% download→sub [C1 50:33]; 97% trial→paid [C2 41:25]136/967 = 14% incl. free grants; ~25/967 = 2.6% actually paying
GMV / salesavg item $400 [C1 46:29] → "300" [C2 54:07]; sell-through 15–20% wk 1 [C1 45:35]$175.00 lifetime GMV, 5 orders, $20.60 lifetime net fees, 104 active listings
"Inventory value"$71,692.39 estimated — AI-guessed value of photographed stuff, not commerce. Also: 131 failed jobs on the same panel
K-factor1.2–1.4 [Loom 01:35]invite-code screen: all codes owner-campaign, bound to waitlist emails, max uses 1, minted Sep 11 9:18–11:53 AM — company converting its own waitlist, not virality. Mechanic ceiling K=1.0; observed ~0.65–0.67 redemptions/codeclaimed number mathematically impossible from the mechanic shown
Churn"sub 2.5%" [C2 34:04]beta open ~1 week by his own admission [C2 33:43] — not measurable
LLM costs"dropping 20–30% day over day" [Loom 01:04]; "internal LLMs through open source models that we've created" [Loom 00:55]$355.59 / 30 days, 6,011 requests, 5,508 web searches, $0.0592 avg. Daily spend RISING to a $62.80/day peak into Sep 11 — the claim and the chart are in the same frame. By call site: valuation.backfill 1,004 req × $0.2342 = $235.16 (66% of spend); valuation.estimate 273 × $0.2286 = $62.39; sonnet-vision 2,132 × $0.0211 = $44.91; market-estimate $5.17. The ledger is paid frontier API (Sonnet = Anthropic), not "own models"

The arithmetic (all from the founder-controlled dashboard)

Claims table

ClaimWhereVerdict
3,500 users overnight / 5,000 downloadsC1 45:22, 50:35CONTRADICTED — own dashboard 967 next day; own C2 "approaching 2,000"
MRR ~$10kC1 50:44CONTRADICTED — dashboard $249.75. 40x. Worst single discrepancy in the room
70% download→subscription; 97% trial→paidC1 50:33 / C2 41:25CONTRADICTED — 14% incl. free grants, ~2.6% paying; base silently redefined on C2
Sell-through 15–20% week one; avg item $400C1 45:35, 46:29CONTRADICTED — 5 lifetime orders, $175 GMV; memo: "list-through 10%, not sold"
Take rate "15–20%... at our 4% take rate"C1 50:55SELF-CONTRADICTORY in one sentence; real: 4% ext / 8% native (verified in app)
Team of 7, all in US; avg salary $125k; every engineer 7+ yrsC1 09:16, 52:50, 53:39CONTRADICTED — C2: Spain, €50k/€90k; zero engineers verifiable anywhere
DS/ML lead "ran DraftKings DS 5 yrs + 3 yrs Nike"C1 42:58FABRICATED — Yagev Levi graduated BU May 2023; ~3.5 yrs total IC experience; full time at Terra Security, Tel Aviv
Growth lead built Hinge to #1C1 43:49CONTRADICTED — Janice Cheng's LinkedIn: Aavia + fractional, no Hinge
eBay "signed agreements... done"; Depop/Vinted partnerships; Meta end-to-end partnership; Mercado Libre signedC1 30:28–33:02, 29:59, 16:28CONTRADICTED / OVERSOLD — memo: self-serve APIs, no partnerships, no Meta relationship
Amazon 4.5 yrs + Amazon subsidiary in APAC; launched JP/SG/TRC1 07:48–08:11CONTRADICTED — own LinkedIn: 2 yrs, Middle East; PingPong is not an Amazon subsidiary; Japan launched when he was ~4
"Own visual-recognition models / internal open-source LLMs"C1 11:46, Loom 00:55CONTRADICTED — ledger dominated by sonnet-vision + paid valuation calls
LLM costs dropping 20–30%/dayLoom 01:04CONTRADICTED — same screen shows spend rising to $62.80/day
K-factor 1.2–1.4Loom 01:35REFUTED — single-use company-minted waitlist codes; ceiling 1.0; observed ~0.65
Credentials "hashed so we can't even access it internally"C1 26:04INCOHERENT — agents that log in on the user's behalf must recover credentials; hashing precludes it
Churn sub-2.5%C2 34:04VERBAL-ONLY — one week of data; he expects ~10% later [41:58]
$700k committed (SPV, angels, family office, a VC)C1 49:17, C2 51:29UNVERIFIABLE — Harmonic $0/0 rounds; no Form D; no SAFE stack shown
a16z/Lerer Hippeau/Khosla/Headline/Bling/True circling; "term sheets this week"C2 00:33–01:29UNVERIFIABLE — concedes no term sheet [03:41]; mangles the names of firms supposedly courting him
Ownership: "I own 100" → "95"; employees 0.5–1%; pool ≤10%C2 07:12–08:34SELF-CONTRADICTORY — no cap table anywhere
Depop: "Etsy $1.2B three years ago"; TCGplayer "$400M, shuttered"; OfferUp "nearly $1B revenue"; Whatnot "$20B?"C1 30:51, 66:35, 44:17; C2 62:31LOOSE — Etsy 2021 ~$1.6B; eBay's 2026 buy is the $1.2B; TCGplayer ~$295M, still operating; OfferUp figure unsupported
"Preliminary data room" existsC1 68:02CONTRADICTED — what arrived: a one-pager + a 3-min Loom
Zero marketing spend, all organicC1 52:01, C2 61:19, Loom 02:19PLAUSIBLE-UNVERIFIED — consistent across all three tellings
App real, shipped, well-designed; $9.99 + 4%/8%; beta ~Sep 7; daily valuation cronVERIFIED — App Store id 6759468571, released 8/25, 4.33★/12; pricing verified in app; cron confirmed C2 50:43
eBay really is buying Depop from Etsy (~$1.2B, Feb 2026)C1 30:51VERIFIED — the one platform claim that checked out; cuts both ways (eBay owns the youth marketplace and ships its own AI listing)

Deal & terms

Instrument: $1M post-money SAFE, $10M post cap, 10% discount, MFN (verbal, C1 49:12; memo adds 1x cash-out floor). The SAFE was sent to Daxos after call 1 but is not in the data room; nothing here verifies cap/discount/MFN/floor from a primary instrument. ~$700k claimed committed, ~$300k open. Side letter (Pro Rata and Investor Rights Agreement, read in full): pro rata into the priced round, participation in any earlier SAFE, Major Investor efforts, quarterly financials + KPIs, QSBS covenant, cap-table rep (§6 reps a cap table was delivered — it wasn't), SPV assignment. Genuinely good rights for an angel check. NOT signed: both signature blocks blank, date "September ___, 2026," despite the _EXECUTION filename. No board seat, no vetoes — no enforcement lever except the rep.

Structure red flags: no Form D on EDGAR for a claimed ~$700k Reg D raise (late, unfiled, or not actually closed — each is a different problem); entity ("Delaware C-corp") unverified, no charter or good standing; cap table never delivered; employee equity is handshake-stage ("I own 100" + a promised ~10% pool cannot both be true unless grants are unissued — meaning no plan, no vesting, no 83(b), and a pool still to be created that dilutes Daxos at the seed); prior SAFE stack opaque; IP unassigned as far as the room shows (engineers in Spain, no PIIAs).

Is $10M defensible? No. Comps (Harmonic, re-pulled 2026-09-15): SellRaze — the tightest peer, YC F25, same scan-to-sell wedge — $500k pre-seed. Vendoo (YC W22, 7 years in, 39 people) $125k. The category ceiling is Flyp: $15.8M total at Series A after 7 years, last round 2022. The memo's "$15–25M consumer-AI teams" defense imports a comp set the resale vertical does not support. $10M post on a week of beta with $175 of lifetime GMV is the vertical's Series A valuation asked at day 7, justified only by team claims that are fabricated or unverifiable.

What to ask for before any wire (items 1–3 are the gate; a founder whose numbers are real produces them in a day): (1) countersigned SAFE + side letter, cap/discount/floor read from the instrument; (2) the cap table §6 already promises, plus every outstanding SAFE and side letter; (3) proof of funds actually received — bank/wire confirmations for the $700k and the Form D or WSGR's written explanation for its absence; (4) charter, good standing, board consents; (5) equity plan docs, founder stock purchase, 83(b)s; (6) signed IP assignments from every engineer/contractor, Spain included; (7) read-only Stripe/RevenueCat: paying subs excluding comped "PRO forever" accounts, reconciled against the $10k MRR claim; (8) the OfferUp advisor's agreement and name.

Competition

Harmonic sweep, 2026-09-15. The category has never produced a venture-scale outcome; two of the named comps are corpses.
CompanyFunding (Harmonic)Note
SellRaze (YC F25)$500k pre-seedClosest peer: scan/barcode → multi-marketplace listing. Erik dismisses them as having pivoted twice [C2 47:13]
Vendoo (YC W22)$125k, 39 ppl11-platform cross-lister, 8 years old, never raised venture scale
Flyp$15.8M, Series A, last round 2022The category's best-funded pure cross-lister — stalled
List Perfectly / Crosslist / Nifty$0 (bootstrapped)AI listing assistants
Beni$7.1M seed (Mar 2026)Buyer-side resale aggregator, different wedge
OneShop / SellHound$125k / $353kOUT_OF_BUSINESS — the two corpses
Tradepost.aino Harmonic funding dataErik: a16z speedrun, instant-offer model [C2 48:45]; unconfirmed
IncumbentseBay "Magical Listing," Mercari, Depop, Poshmark all ship photo-to-listing AI natively, free. Valuation substitute: Google Lens, free. Plus a shelf of near-identical iOS scanner apps (ResaleScan, rScan, Thrift Scanner, Pocket Pricer, Listed AI...)

What Moe has that they don't: the portfolio/"stuff as stocks" framing, consumer-casual packaging, and the promise (not the reality) of agents doing the messaging. That is positioning, not technology. Every underlying job — identify, value, cross-list — is a commodity vision-LLM call plus web-searched sold comps the incumbents own. The market backdrop is real ($393B global secondhand 2026, ThredUp/GlobalData) but that is goods GMV, not Moe's market; Moe sells $9.99/mo seller software in a tools category whose revealed ceiling is $15.8M raised over 7 years.

Platform risk

Risks / what kills it

Verdict

PASS. Company 4.75/10 (Base 2.75 + EV 1.00 + Geo 1.00 + Chain 0). FOR DAXOS 2.0/10 — do not execute the SAFE, at any check size, at this cap.

The honest bull case: a real shipped app that pulled ~967 genuine signups in two weeks on zero claimed marketing spend, a founder with real marketplace GTM history and unusual candor about product limits, instrumented cost telemetry most seed founders don't have, and a big secondhand backdrop with a live strategic acquirer. The reasons it still fails: the founder pitched numbers his own dashboard refuted within 24 hours and his own mouth refuted within 5 days; the team that justifies the $10M premium does not exist as described (one resume fabricated, the rest unverifiable); the unit economics are negative by design and presented as a strength; the load-bearing integration violates Meta's terms with users' accounts as collateral; and the category has never returned venture capital. The memo's 5.5 stands on founder-only inputs; strip them and its own framework lands where this teardown does.

The 3 things that change the answer (all three, not one): (1) Money and metrics verified at source — read-only Stripe/RevenueCat reconciling paying subs and MRR against the call-1 claims, wire confirmations + Form D for the $700k, and the cap table. (2) A real technical team — named engineers with LinkedIn, signed IP assignments, and a truthful correction of the Yagev claim on the record. (3) A price that matches the evidence — a cap in the low single digits ($3–4M, SellRaze territory), because at $10M you are paying the vertical's Series A price for a week-old beta. Even then, the demonstrated willingness to state a 40x MRR figure to investors' faces is a character fact no term sheet cures; any re-engagement should be a small relationship check sized for that risk, not conviction.

Daxos internal, do not distribute. Sources: data room /datarooms/moe/ (2 call transcripts, Loom + OCR + full-res screenshots, unsigned side letter, Daxos memo) · App Store/iTunes API · Harmonic (company 75516295, person + comp records) · Apify LinkedIn · SEC EDGAR · CourtListener (D. Colo. 1:24-cv-03084) · WA corporate registry · Wayback · GitHub. External checks 2026-09-14/15. Prior DD v1: /home/lakeman/projects/moe-dd/MOE-DD-2026-09-14.md (3.75/3.25 PASS). Review log: ~/Documents/claude-conversations/dataroom-reviews/2026-09-15-moe-teardown-review.md